Week 10 gives us five plays, all pulled off the PropsEdge TD Scorers and Prop Streaks sheets. Three anytime touchdown prices and two receiving yards overs, spread across the Sunday window.
The receipts are printed under each pick: the streak, the hit rate over the recent sample, the defensive rank where the sheet flagged one, and the break-even the price is asking for. Read those first and the writeup second.
The picks for Week 10
Christian Mccaffrey, Anytime TD (-303 at Bet365)
- 7 GAME TD STREAK
- VS #25 WORST RB DEF
- 88% TD HIT RATE L8G
- 1.25 TDS/GAME L8G
- SF @ DAL, Sun 4:25pm ET
Source: TD Scorers cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app · First TD sheet for who scores first (free preview)
This is the shortest price on the board and the sheet is comfortable with it: a 7 game TD streak into a Dallas front the TD Scorers sheet has as the 25th worst against running backs. The touchdown volume is the part that makes a favourite like this workable, since he has been finding the end zone more than once a game across the recent sample. You are paying up for a role, not for a hunch.
Brock Bowers, Rec Yds Over 69.5 (-116 at Bet365)
- OVER IN 7 STRAIGHT
- 70% OVER L10
- 50% OVER L20G
- 70% HIT RATE VS 54% BREAK-EVEN AT -116
- SEA @ LV, Sun 4:05pm ET
Source: Prop Streaks cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
Bowers has cleared this number in seven straight, and the Prop Streaks sheet lines the 70% hit rate over his last ten up against the 54% break-even that -116 is asking for. The twenty game look is softer, which tells you this is a recent-form play rather than a season-long one. Against Seattle the bet is that the target share holding up through that streak keeps holding.
James Cook, Anytime TD (-145 at Fanatics)
- 7 GAME TD STREAK
- 88% TD HIT RATE L8G
- 1.00 TDS/GAME L8G
- 62% RZ CARRIES
- BUF @ NYJ, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: TD Scorers cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app · First TD sheet for who scores first (free preview)
Cook has scored in seven straight games and owns 62% of Buffalo's red zone carries, which is the number that matters most for a touchdown price. The TD Scorers sheet also has him at a touchdown a game over his last eight, so the streak is not built on one fluke goal line stack. Fanatics is where the sheet found -145 on it.
Tank Dell, Rec Yds Over 33.5 (-116 at Bet365)
- OVER IN 3 STRAIGHT
- 80% OVER L10
- 80% OVER L20G
- 80% HIT RATE VS 54% BREAK-EVEN AT -116
- HOU @ CLE, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: Prop Streaks cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
The current run is only three games, but the longer looks are what sold this one: 80% over across both the last ten and the last twenty. A number that holds up over that much sample is usually a line that has not caught up to a role. At -116 the sheet puts the break-even at 54%, which leaves a gap worth taking in Cleveland.
Bhayshul Tuten, Anytime TD (-130 at Onyx)
- 3 GAME TD STREAK
- VS #27 WORST RB DEF
- 62% TD HIT RATE L8G
- 0.88 TDS/GAME L8G
- JAX @ TEN, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: TD Scorers cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app · First TD sheet for who scores first (free preview)
Tuten is the thinnest of the touchdown plays, with a 62% TD hit rate over his last eight behind a three game scoring run. What pushes it onto the sheet is the matchup: Tennessee grades as the 27th worst run defense against the position. Onyx has the cheapest number at -130, and this one is worth a shop before kickoff.
Learn the method
Every pick above came out of the same routine. The guides behind it:
- NFL player props guide
- How to win on PrizePicks
- How to win on Underdog
- Line shopping and closing line value
Free tools to check any price yourself:
Free picks are the short version. A subscriber gets every cheat sheet each week, including the First TD sheet that lays out who scores first in each game, projections for every game on the slate, the pick builder for stacking your own card, and the line-shopping feed so you are not giving back the edge at the window. Bet what you can afford to lose. If it stops being fun, stop.
