Free Cheat Sheet — Week 5
First TD Cheat Sheet
Who scores early: each offense’s TD rate on its opening drives against this defense, where its drives start, and the players who get the first touches. One game free, the full slate for members.
Free game · Week 5 · TB @ DAL
TB@
DALFri 12:15 AM39%TD on its first two drives
league 43%
D1 87% · F2 88% · Q1 88% · 1st TD 3/17
3/1788% rushimplies 21%
D1 29% · F2 25% · Q1 25% · 1st TD 2/17
2/1725% tgtimplies 13%
D1 29% · F2 22% · Q1 23% · 1st TD 0/17
0/1722% tgtimplies 11%
D1 64% · F2 71% · Q1 62% · 1st TD 0/14
0/1471% rushimplies 8.3%
D1 0% · F2 6% · Q1 8% · 1st TD 2/17
2/176% tgtimplies 6.7%
D1 12% · F2 11% · Q1 13% · 1st TD 1/17
1/1711% tgtimplies 5.9%
D1 33% · F2 22% · Q1 20% · 1st TD 2/17
2/1722% tgtimplies 4.8%
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/17
1/17—implies 4.2%
14 more games this week
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Unlock the Full SheetA first TD bet is a bet on the opening script. Offenses differ a lot in how often they score on their first two drives, and so do the defenses facing them. Each card puts both numbers together, shows where the offense’s drives start on the field, and lists every candidate with his share of the early runs or targets and his first TD price at every sportsbook.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a first TD bet?
It wins only if your player scores the first touchdown of the game. Prices run long (+300 to +5000), so the early script matters: which offense tends to score on its first drives, and who gets the ball on them.
What does the TD chance on each team mean?
The chance that offense scores a touchdown on its first drive, its first two drives, or in the first quarter (your pick), from its own rate this season blended toward the league while the sample is small, plus how much its opponent allows on the same drives.
What is early share?
For backs and quarterbacks, their share of the team’s runs on those drives; for receivers and tight ends, their share of the targets. It shows who actually gets the ball when a first TD is most likely to happen.
Why is only one game free?
The free page shows the next game on the slate in full. Members see every game, every week, with the same detail.