Free Cheat Sheet — Week 3
Who scores early: each offense’s TD rate on its opening drives against this defense, where its drives start, and the players who get the first touches. One game free, the full slate for members.
Free game · Week 3 · CAR @ CLE
CAR@
CLESun 5:00 PMCARaway · vs CLE+1.6 matchup● Drives start at its own 52 on average, 48 yards from the end zone. A thicker line means a better TD chance.
CAR scored
2 of 2’25 6/18
CLE allows
1 of 2
Run / pass
20%/80%
RBChuba Hubbard
D1 100% · F2 100% · Q1 67% · 1st TD 2/17
WRTetairoa McMillan
D1 20% · F2 25% · Q1 22% · 1st TD 1/17
WRJalen Coker
D1 30% · F2 19% · Q1 13% · 1st TD 0/14
WRXavier Legette
D1 0% · F2 13% · Q1 17% · 1st TD 1/17
TETommy Tremble
D1 10% · F2 13% · Q1 9% · 1st TD 1/17
TEMitchell Evans
D1 10% · F2 6% · Q1 4% · 1st TD 0/16
TEDarren Waller
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/10
QBBryce Young
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/17
RBAJ Dillon
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/9
WRJohn Metchie
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/14
WRBrycen Tremayne
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/17
TEJa'Tavion Sanders
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/11
TEFeleipe Franks
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/10
RBJonathon Brooks
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 33% · 1st TD 0/2
CLEhome · vs CAR+1.6 matchup● Drives start at its own 30 on average, 71 yards from the end zone. A thicker line means a better TD chance.
CLE scored
0 of 2’25 8/17
CAR allows
1 of 2
Run / pass
53%/47%
RBQuinshon Judkins
D1 75% · F2 89% · Q1 92% · 1st TD 3/16
WRKC Concepcion
D1 50% · F2 38% · Q1 19% · 1st TD 0/2
TEHarold Fannin
D1 0% · F2 25% · Q1 19% · 1st TD 4/17
WRJerry Jeudy
D1 25% · F2 13% · Q1 6% · 1st TD 0/17
TEBlake Whiteheart
D1 25% · F2 13% · Q1 6% · 1st TD 0/11
WRDenzel Boston
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 13% · 1st TD 0/2
QBDeshaun Watson
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/2
RBRaheim Sanders
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/6
WRTylan Wallace
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/10
WRIsaiah Bond
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/16
WRMalachi Corley
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 0/13
RBJaleel McLaughlin
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0% · 1st TD 1/11
RBMichael Burton
D1 0% · F2 0% · Q1 0%
14 more games this week
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This is a preview — members see the full First TD Cheat Sheet.
Every game, every player, full stat breakdowns, live odds comparison across 15+ sportsbooks, and 8 more daily cheat sheets.
Unlock the Full SheetA first TD bet is a bet on the opening script. Offenses differ a lot in how often they score on their first two drives, and so do the defenses facing them. Each card puts both numbers together, shows where the offense’s drives start on the field, and lists every candidate with his share of the early runs or targets and his first TD price at every sportsbook.
It wins only if your player scores the first touchdown of the game. Prices run long (+300 to +5000), so the early script matters: which offense tends to score on its first drives, and who gets the ball on them.
The chance that offense scores a touchdown on its first drive, its first two drives, or in the first quarter (your pick), from its own rate this season blended toward the league while the sample is small, plus how much its opponent allows on the same drives.
For backs and quarterbacks, their share of the team’s runs on those drives; for receivers and tight ends, their share of the targets. It shows who actually gets the ball when a first TD is most likely to happen.
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