Free Cheat Sheet — Week 10

First TD Cheat Sheet

Who scores early: each offense’s TD rate on its opening drives against this defense, where its drives start, and the players who get the first touches. One game free, the full slate for members.

Free game · Week 10 · WAS @ NYG

WAS@

NYGThu 8:15 PM

44%

TD on its first two drives
league 43%

30%

WASNYG

+3.9

Matchup

−10.4

38%3/8

Scored 1st TD

38%3/8

49%/51%

Run / pass

50%/50%

PlayerEarly share1st TDFirst TD

RBCam Skattebo
D1 50% · F2 44% · Q1 44% · 1st TD 2/15
44% rush
2/15
implies 13%
RBRachaad White
D1 43% · F2 23% · Q1 21% · 1st TD 1/17
23% rush
1/17
implies 11%
WRMalik Nabers
D1 23% · F2 24% · Q1 23% · 1st TD 1/12
24% tgt
1/12
implies 11%
TEIsaiah Likely
D1 26% · F2 31% · Q1 28% · 1st TD 0/17
31% tgt
0/17
implies 8.3%
WRStefon Diggs
D1 32% · F2 22% · Q1 17% · 1st TD 0/17
22% tgt
0/17
implies 7.1%
WRAntonio Williams
D1 5% · F2 5% · Q1 7% · 1st TD 0/8
5% tgt
0/8
implies 6.7%
RBDevin Singletary
D1 17% · F2 18% · Q1 18% · 1st TD 2/17
18% rush
2/17
implies 6.7%
QBJayden Daniels
D1 14% · F2 15% · Q1 13% · 1st TD 0/13
15% rush
0/13
implies 6.7%

13 more games this week

Members open every game with the same detail.

NE @ DETSun 9:30 AM BUF @ NYJSun 1:00 PM CAR @ NOSun 1:00 PM HOU @ CLESun 1:00 PM JAX @ TENSun 1:00 PM KC @ ATLSun 1:00 PM MIA @ INDSun 1:00 PM MIN @ GBSun 1:00 PM LAR @ ARISun 4:05 PM SEA @ LVSun 4:05 PM SF @ DALSun 4:25 PM PIT @ CINSun 8:20 PM LAC @ BALMon 8:15 PM

Unlock every game

This is a preview — members see the full First TD Cheat Sheet.

Every game, every player, full stat breakdowns, live odds comparison across 15+ sportsbooks, and every other daily cheat sheet.

Unlock the Full Sheet

A first TD bet is a bet on the opening script. Offenses differ a lot in how often they score on their first two drives, and so do the defenses facing them. Each card puts both numbers together, shows where the offense’s drives start on the field, and lists every candidate with his share of the early runs or targets and his first TD price at every sportsbook.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a first TD bet?

It wins only if your player scores the first touchdown of the game. Prices run long (+300 to +5000), so the early script matters: which offense tends to score on its first drives, and who gets the ball on them.

What does the TD chance on each team mean?

The chance that offense scores a touchdown on its first drive, its first two drives, or in the first quarter (your pick), from its own rate this season blended toward the league while the sample is small, plus how much its opponent allows on the same drives.

What is early share?

For backs and quarterbacks, their share of the team’s runs on those drives; for receivers and tight ends, their share of the targets. It shows who actually gets the ball when a first TD is most likely to happen.

Why is only one game free?

The free page shows the next game on the slate in full. Members see every game, every week, with the same detail.

More Free Tools & Sheets